Trading Currency Blog

Dave aka Spider Monkey asked:


Is it better to be high momentum and high volatility or high momentum low volatility to keep up on daily currency levels that change ? I am not into trading per se but am interested in learning it . Serious inquiries only and knowledgeable enquiries only . I am trying to learn and not wasting time. Keep web sites to a minimum unless it explains completely these 2 questions.

DUANE

Larry Haywood asked:


Foreign exchange trading, also known as Forex trading, has become more and more popular with investors and traders these days. With the ongoing recession in the capital markets, a lot of folks believe buying and selling of currencies is a safe investment. Whenever you look at the mechanics of a currency spot trade, the chance of making money is somewhere around 50%. With each currency spot transaction, someone loses money while the other individual makes some. Despite this, not everyone is profitable from trading currencies. As a matter of fact, it is estimated that almost 80% of all currency traders lose money in their attempts.

Using these statistics, one can easily assume that the 20% of profitable traders either have access to some kind of insider info or a mysterious way to manipulate the market. But even the United States, British, and Japanese governments have systematically failed in their previous attempts to manipulate the world’s currency markets; which squelches that possibility all together.

The fact is, profitable currency traders are simply better at using accessible info than their unprofitable counterparts are. Profitable traders know how to choose the most applicable information from the enormous heap of economical data that’s released by governments and institutions on a day by day basis. They understand how to head off information overload and zoom in on exclusively the most important facts and numbers that are most probable to have an effect on the currency market. With that in mind, these are the five major national economic reports that each successful trader looks at:

Unemployment Reports. Unexpected surprises in unemployment figures generally have a big impact on the Forex market. If, for example, the anticipated unemployment rate is 6% for a specific country, but the report shows an actual rate of 4%, then this can cause a strengthening of the national currency.

Interest Rates. Interest rates are directly related to the strength of a specific currency. When interest rates move up, it draws in foreign investors and will lead to a stronger currency. The opposite takes place when interest rates go downward.

Consumer Price Index. The CPI is a monthly report that measures the costs of goods in a country and compares this to salaries. An abrupt hike up in inflation is always damaging to the strength of a currency and so it’s vital to maintain a close eye on this economic indicator.

Trade Balance. The trade balance measures how much a country exports and how much it imports. A trade deficit means that exports surpass imports and a country is sending out more money than it is taking in. This has a very noticeable impact on the demand for a countries currency. But one must remember that a trade deficit isn’t always a bad thing. One must take into account the specific conditions of a country to see why a trade surplus or deficit exists.

Retail Sales. A monthly report of retail sales is possibly the most effective indicator of the average person’s thoughts about his nations economy. Sentiment plays a highly critical role in spending patterns, which, in turn, affects the strength of a nations currency.

For currency traders who may plan on being intermediate or permanent players, successful Forex trading means that you need to gain some basic knowledge about worldwide economics and trade. Trading currencies without an awareness of the economic circumstances that bear upon a particular currency market will ultimately lead to losing money. To earn money with Forex trading over the long-run, you also need to learn how to adhere to stable trends and indicators and place your orders accordingly. That is the surest, if not the only way, of trading currency for profits.



BARRIENTEZ

Merlin the turk asked:


I know its an automated trading system for the currency markets, and that makes me nervous. Is it worth buying?

ABBRUZZESE

forexrobots asked:

http://ForexAutopilotSystem.org

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BOSTWICK

ACMForex asked:

Online Forex Trading at unbeatable conditions. Spreads as low as 1pip, guaranteed fills, one-click execution, 24/7 support. Free $100′000 Practice Trading Account.

PILGRIM

FX Trading Guide asked:


Managing Risk in Forex Trading

Forex trading is often regarded as risky. Is this perception true or false? How does this affect our decision to trade currencies? What can we do to reduce our risk and avoid one of the majority of traders who lose money from trading.

Before we make a decision on how risky forex trading is, let’s define what risk means. Risk is simply the variability of investment returns. If you graph the value of an investment portfolio over time, a low risk investment such government bond should have a smooth curve, while a riskier investment would have a more jagged curve.

The fact is that most beginning forex traders lose money. Is this a characteristic of the currency markets, or is it to do with the traders themselves?

To answer this question, we need to understand what factors contribute to risk. To an extent, risk depends on the market. If the market rapidly moves up and down, then that can contribute to variable returns. In this respect, forex markets are not more volatile than many other investments. Unlike stocks, it is impossible to manipulate currencies. The market risk of forex is comparable to other major markets.

One factor that magnifies risk in forex trading is the level of gearing, or leverage used. Typically professional traders use up to ten times gearing. That means for each dollar of their own money, they control a position of ten dollars. Many small traders using gearing of up to two hundred times, and this can rapidly magnify both gains and losses. It is best to have enough capital to be able to trade without using excessive gearing to avoid massive exposure to market risk.

One other risk is that of liquidity. This is the ability to get in or out of the market at a fair price. Recall the recent losses suffered by hedge funds trading mortgage securities – the markets suddenly became illiquid, and they could not sell their positions at a reasonable price. In contrast, the forex markets turn over more than $1 trillion per day and are the most liquid markets available. This is not to say that there are not sudden movements from time to time, but traders can always get into or out of the market. Forex liquidity risk is low.

However market volatility andliquidity are only part of the risk equation for forex trading. Most risk comes from the individual trader’s approach. These factors are controllable by the individual. This is why some traders consistently win, while others consistently lose. The trader chooses when to participate, the timeframe to trade over, which currency to trade, and how much the market should move before liquidating a position.

It is better for the trader to select their own risk parameters, based on careful testing of a trading system against the market. That way, you can know exactly when to enter or exit the market, how much you want to risk per trade and can select a risk level that you are comfortable with. This gives you a level of transparency that you don’t get when you hand your money over to “an expert” to invest, or buy a “sure fire winning system” advertised on the Internet.

You should test your parameters against the market over a period of time using paper trading before committing real money.

In conclusion, forex trading is not more inherently risky than other forms of investment, but the new trader must understand the impact of leverage, and clearly define entry and exit criteria, how long a position should be open, profit and loss targets (which should reflect the volatility of current market conditions).

For more information and free tutorials on forex trading, visit www.fxtradingguide.com



CANTRALL

limitdown2002 asked:


I have been testing this method for a year. I have not had a losing trade. It is easily back tested on historical charts. Profit potential is huge.

HURNS

Adam Hefner asked:


ding strategy is becoming more the domain of the individual trader as sophisticated software continues to level the playing field in the currency markets. Forex is short for foreign exchange and are the markets where currencies are traded. Plainly stated, it entails the trading of the various versions of money found around the globe. When you go on a trip overseas and exchange your US Dollars for the local country’s money, you are in reality participating in the currency markets.

The difference between this type exchange and that in the forex markets is that you are not primarily looking to book a profit from this exchange of currencies. One simply requires the native currency in order to having spending money with which to enjoy their trip. However, let’s assume that you retained a few bills of the local currency left over as your trip ends and you go to board your flight back home. You go to the foreign exchange booth at the airport and swap the local currency back into dollars. That action completes a full fledged currency trade.

Those who participate in the forex markets are seeking to purchase a chosen currency and subsequently convert it back to dollars thus yielding a short term trading profit. If one is bearish on a given currency, you are able to engage in what is called shorting a currency. This is in essentially betting that the targeted currency will decline against your core currency. The currency markets can be thrilling and lucrative. Forex trading also comes with additional lifestyle benefits.

Forex traders enjoy the liberty associated with being able to work from home or wherever else they desire. Unfortunately, a significant majority of the plethora of work at home programs come with high fees and little income. The forex markets have been in existence for centuries. The various forex markets around the world are legitimate enterprises which attract the most sophisticated of institutional and retail investors. Abundant proof has been established in the form of large fortunes generated through the trading of currencies.

The international character of the forex trading markets translates to trading going on virtually around the clock. Night owls are able to trade currencies into the wee hours of the morning. Early birds have the ability to commence trading long prior to the time normal stock markets open. Forex traders can make their own schedule and trade from any location with access to the Internet. A successful forex trader has a lifestyle which is universally envied.

Cutting edge automated software programs is able to grant an even higher level of freedom through the automated execution of currency trades. One simply has to select their given trading strategy and acceptable risk levels and let the robot go off to work. There is no longer a need to remain fixed to your monitor for endless hours.

The biggest error that many novice currency traders make is to engage in the arbitrary predicting of the movement of various currencies without the assistance of software. Fluctuations of valuations of currencies within the forex markets often are rapid and based upon convoluted events. Traders who strive to engage in this challenge alone often find themselves outmatched. Fortunately, there is now publicly available sophisticated automated trading programs which help in combat against other forex warriors.

Forex trading strategy executed by robots presents a prominent advantage relating to a robot’s ability to eliminate the adverse impacts many traders experience when emotions come into play. Novice forex participants many times experience the undesirable results when emotions begin to dictate trading decisions. Automated forex trading robots do not experience emotion and coldly trade guided by numbers and logic. Traders who are attempting to navigate the forex markets by intuition and guesses often don’t stand a chance against these machines.

HEAVENER